Archive for September, 2016

Fed hands down rate hike decision

Wednesday, September 21st, 2016

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady

Ryan Smith
Mortgage Broker News

As expected, the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady this month – but experts say there could still be a rate hike in December.

The Federal Open Market Committee decided at its meeting to hold rates steady yet again, its hand stayed by lukewarm inflation and recent weak economic data. The decision to hold off on a rate increase came as no surprise to most observers; economists polled by Reuters ahead of the meeting thought a hike unlikely. However, most of those polled expected a rate increase at the Fed’s December meeting.

“The last thing the Fed wants is to disrupt financial markets with a big surprise,” Torsten Slok, chief international economist at Deutsche Bank, told Fortune.

The FMOC apparently agreed. “The Committee judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened but decided, for the time being, to wait for further evidence of continued progress toward its objectives,” it said in a news release. “The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.”

The Fed raised its benchmark interest rate to a range of 0.25% to 0.50% in December, after nearly a decade of holding rates near zero. That hike had been intended as the first of several small increases over the course of the next year. But weak inflation and other economic indicators have kept the Fed from following its plan, and rates haven’t been raised since.

While unemployment is low and job gains are outpacing population growth, inflation is still well under the Fed’s target rate of 2%, according to Fortune. Coupled with weak August numbers for manufacturing and the service industry, that led most economists to foresee today’s decision to hold rates steady.

Copyright © 2016 Key Media Pty Ltd

Commissioning of new building crucial for strata council

Wednesday, September 21st, 2016

Commissioning crucial first step

Tony Gioventu
other

Dear Tony:

We purchased our Burnaby condo in the spring and our strata is about to hold its first annual general meeting. One of the agenda items posed to the property manager is the requirement for commissioning of the building before the strata council takes over responsibility.

We were told there is no such thing as commissioning a building, and other than approving the first budget, the insurance report and the election of a strata council, the meeting would be very short.

Our owners have some serious concerns about the administration of the utilities and the property operations and are not sure how to address these matters at the meeting.

How do the owners know we are getting what we bought? That would seem to be the purpose of commissioning a building.

Carlos V.

Dear Carlos:

We live in many complicated building systems that include shared parking garages, mixed-use residential and commercial property, social housing and community amenities.

Commissioning of new buildings is a crucial exercise for new strata councils to ensure that as the strata corporation’s representatives, they have received all of the records and documents, the strata has received what was intended by the developer, and the strata is only paying for direct costs in shared relationships.

If your strata is in an air-space-parcel arrangement, a building audit/commission would be the only way of confirming the allocation of costs is being administered properly. (Air space parcels are multiple properties that are stacked on top of each other, and share building systems and facilities).

Building commissioning is more of a procedural concept than a duty required by the legislation. Commissioning is the process of verifying the performance of the building systems for mechanical, plumbing, electrical, energy consumption and efficiency, fire safety, building envelopes, interior systems, sustainable systems, lighting, wastewater, controls and building security to achieve the owners’ requirements as intended by the building owner and buyers, and as designed by the building architects and engineers.

The Strata Property Act does not specifically require any such action, but the act does require that at the first annual meeting of the strata corporation, in addition to the records of the strata corporation, the owner developer must provide to the strata corporation: all plans relating to building permits, documents that show locations of pipe, wires, ducts and building systems, all contracts entered into for the strata corporation, the land-title documents, names and addresses of all contractors, subcontractors and suppliers, and all warranties and manuals that relate to operations, installation, construction, maintenance and repair.

Due to lack of experience, most new strata councils fail to verify whether the information is provided, who received the records and how the information is available to the strata council.

Once your new strata council has been elected, a complete review of the records and documents required for operations and warranty administration is essential.

Once you have received and reviewed the documents, review your warranty contract to determine your obligations and the expiry dates of the warranties, and verify that your utility and operations costs are consistent with the obligations of your strata.

Glacier Community Media © Copyright 2013-2016

Confidence about Canadian housing at lowest levels since 2009

Wednesday, September 21st, 2016

Homeowners preparing for a decline in real estate value

Ephraim Vecina
Mortgage Broker News

The fraction of Canadians who are preparing themselves for a decline in the value of their real estate increased to 24.6 per cent on the week ending September 16, according to the latest poll by Bloomberg.
 
In addition, the share of respondents predicting price growth declined to 37.5 per cent. These numbers represented the lowest level of confidence about Canadian real estate since the crisis in 2009, Nanos Research stated.
 
The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index weakened to 56.7 in the same week, the lowest level since April and a far cry from the record heights of 59.9 four weeks earlier. B.C. saw the most significant hit to consumer confidence, bottoming out at 54.2 from the 65.2 peak four weeks ago.
 
Those who are looking forward to a strengthened economy in the next six months declined from 25 per cent to 22.6 per cent. Meanwhile, the proportion of those who believe the economy will weaken increased from 23.5 per cent to 24.1 per cent.
 
The survey was conducted via telephone polling (with a rolling 4-week average) of 1,000 respondents, and is considered statistically accurate within 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Copyright © 2016 Key Media Pty Ltd

Household debt outstrips Canadian GDP for the first time

Wednesday, September 21st, 2016

Ephraim Vecina
Mortgage Broker News

Canadian households’ debt load has surpassed the nation’s economic output for the first time in history, as credit-market debt (including mortgages) swelled to 167.6 per cent of income during the second quarter of the year.
 
According to fresh data released by Statistics Canada on September 15, the ratio between household debt and the gross domestic product spiked from 98.7 in the first three months of 2016 to 100.5 per cent in Q2, Bloomberg reported.
 
Furthermore, total credit-market consumer debt grew by 2 per cent in the second quarter, outstripping the 0.5 percent increase in disposable income in the same period. Meanwhile, the share of mortgages in total household debt remained flat at 65.6 per cent.
 
“Households are in an increasingly precarious position,” Royal Bank of Canada economist Laura Cooper said, adding that Canadians “should continue to be cautious” about their borrowing habits.
 
The same StatsCan data revealed, however, that Canadian families are still able to meet their debt obligations effectively, as credit-market debt remained at around 20 per cent of household net worth. Low interest rates have also been credited for moderating borrowing costs, with the debt-service ratio at 14.2 per cent as of the second quarter.
 
Finance Minister Bill Morneau and the Bank of Canada have sounded the alarm on greater economic risk due to record debt burdens, which have come amid the rapid overheating of the housing markets in Vancouver and Toronto.

Copyright © 2016 Key Media Pty Ltd

B.C. injects half-billion into housing

Tuesday, September 20th, 2016

AFFORDABLE HOMES: But Opposition decries Clark?s plan as ?transferring public wealth into private hands?

ROB SHAW
The Province

Premier Christy Clark unveiled her government’s latest fix for the Lower Mainland’s housing affordability crisis Monday, a plan that was big on funding, short on details and all but ensures a series of further feel-good housing announcements for her government in the run-up to the May provincial election.

Clark said she’ll use $500 million in tax profits from the real estate sector to identify and approve construction of 2,900 rental units by March 2017. That coincides with the end of the provincial government’s fiscal year, but perhaps just as importantly ensures a rush of new project announcements in the two months before voters head to the polls on May 9.

“This is by far the biggest amount that any government has invested in British Columbia’s history in affordable housing,” Clark told reporters.

The funding follows her government’s decision to institute a 15-per-cent tax on foreign buyers in Metro Vancouver’s real estate market in August.

The government provided few details on where the new rental units would be located and how many would serve different categories of low-income renters, saying it will depend on what kind of partnerships it forms with municipalities, non-profit groups, community organizations and private developers to actually build, convert or re-purpose apartments and townhomes into rental suites.

Housing Minister Rich Coleman said one scenario could see the government use public funds to invest in a private developer’s project, in the process securing a number of units that provincial agency B.C. Housing would then rent at below-market rates to at-risk tenants such as seniors, students, First Nations, transitioning youth, the disabled and women and children fleeing abusive relationships.

Coleman said his ministry has already cuts similar deals, but the difference now is the amount of funding available.

“Five hundred million is a ton of money to move out into the marketplace between now and the end of March,” Coleman said. “By March 31, we want them to be able to identify the project, where it would go, what the zoning is and move ahead with new construction.”

The plan was quickly panned by the Opposition New Democrats.

“That’s transferring public wealth into private hands,” said Leader John Horgan. “Those are the same developers financing the B.C. Liberal Party for the past decade and now on the way out the door they are getting a top up.”

Horgan said the NDP would reveal more of its housing solutions before the election.

Clark said the $500 million adds to $355 million announced in February to create 2,000 new affordable housing units. The federal government has also promised to spend $150 million on affordable housing in B.C.

Kishone Roy, CEO of the B.C. Non-Profit Housing Association, described the announcement as “momentous” and said the funding infusion is exactly what’s needed. But he estimates the province needs about 3,000 new subsidized units on an annual basis.

“We probably need an announcement like this every year. I would suggest to the government that what we need is a permanent program for affordable housing,” Roy said.

B.C. seniors advocate Isobel Mackenzie said she was pleased to see the plan specifically addresses seniors living in rural areas, where she noted in a May 2015 report that appropriate housing can be hard to come by.

However, she’s still waiting for news of increases to seniors’ rental subsidies, something she had hoped would be in this year’s budget.

“These new units are important, but the majority of seniors that are renting are using the Shelter Aid for Elderly Renters subsidy and there is a challenge with it in the Lower Mainland, where the cap is quite low compared to what rents actually are,” Mackenzie said.

Thomas Davidoff, a University of British Columbia professor, said that while the new rental housing will help, 2,900 units “is not going to make Vancouver affordable.”

“I’m not sure it’s the best start you could make with $500 million, but it’s something, absolutely. To the extent that it’s affordable homes, a decent roof over the head of battered children, First Nations, I have no problem with it at all.”

However, Davidoff believes it might not be very efficient to spend $500 million on 2,900 units and provide what is effectively a $172,000-per-unit subsidy.

“My concern is that’s too much of a subsidy, too much money per unit,” he said.

Anne McMullin, president and CEO of the Urban Development Institute, said it was a “huge first step,” but municipal governments now need to accept growth and density in their communities to help create the supply.

“The development industry is ready to deliver even more affordable housing, but municipal red tape and restrictive zoning regulations must be addressed,” she said.

© 2016 Postmedia Network Inc

CIBC economist says Ontario will have to tax foreign buyers

Tuesday, September 20th, 2016

The government needs to take action to make borrowing harder

Steve Randall
Mortgage Broker News

Ontario will have to follow BC in taxing foreign home buyers in order to cool the Greater Toronto Area housing market according to CIBC economist Benjamin Tal.

In a client note, Tal said that as evidence is starting to reveal an impact on the Vancouver market following the introduction of a 15 per cent tax, Ontario will have “little choice but to do the same.”

His assessment of the current state of the market and household debt is that there is a real risk ahead for the economy from large mortgages held by an increasing number of homeowners in the hottest markets.

While defaults may not rise sharply, higher interest rates could mean lower consumer spending on other items as servicing debt takes a larger chunk of household incomes.

This, Tal warns, could lead to recession and he is calling on the government to take action to make borrowing harder.

Copyright © 2016 Key Media Pty Ltd

Money laundering in real estate needs more federal attention – observer

Tuesday, September 20th, 2016

Calls for federal intervention on housing situation intensify

Ephraim Vecina
Mortgage Broker News

While much discussion has been revolving around the purported effect of foreign buyers on Canadian’s home prices, observers argued that another topic that merits increased federal attention is the proliferation of illicit financial activity in the country’s residential real estate segment.
 
In a downtown Vancouver housing rally on September 17, Certified Financial Crime and Anti-Money Laundering Specialist Christine Duhaime stated that the national government must thoroughly explore the issue of money laundering in the local market, GlobalNews.ca reported.
 
“I would like to suggest the federal government convene an inquiry into whether or not there is a financial crime problem in the real estate sector of Vancouver and what can be done to resolve it,” Duhaime said.
 
UBC professor Paul Kershaw agreed, noting that the current situation represents a perfect opportunity for the government to resolve the city’s housing problems once and for all.
 
“The anger and frustration is coming together in constructive ways to entice all political parties left, right and centre to say homes first has to be the principle around which they organize their platform heading into the next provincial election,” Kershaw said, adding that increases in wages and housing stock are options worth considering.
 
The comments came in the wake of intensified efforts by federal and provincial authorities to devise effective strategies in rooting out money laundering and tax evasion in the Vancouver housing segment.
 
In a press conference last week, NDP MLA David Eby slammed financial institutions that approve loans by foreign home buyers even without rigorous income verification.
 
“The question [that] should be asked is: did banks issues mortgages to people who have no apparent source of income?” Eby stated. “It’s absolutely outrageous that a Canadian that’s working, living and paying taxes in B.C has to provide even more information and cross even more hurdles than someone who is not a B.C. resident.”
 
“If you’re not working in B.C., not living here, you should have to provide additional documentation to show your source of income and that your money is coming from a proper source.”

Copyright © 2016 Key Media Pty Ltd

Proposals for cracking down on tax evasion in hot markets

Tuesday, September 20th, 2016

Ephraim Vecina
Mortgage Broker News

Amid the federal and provincial governments’ current efforts to stamp out tax evasion in overheated real estate markets such as Vancouver and Toronto, various observers have offered their suggestions on what can be done to address the most pernicious effects of these illicit financial activities.
 
Speaking to The Globe and Mail, Vancouver-based immigration attorney Richard Kurland argued that it’s high time for stronger interventions as “people are getting away with doing the wrong thing,” referring to the increasingly commonplace practice of individuals selling multiple properties without informing the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA).
 
A potential solution that might prove controversial is the stationing of CRA officials to the East Asian and European cities that majority of foreign investors and buyers originate from. This is to allow the officers to coordinate with local auditors in these cities
 
“[The] payback will be astronomical, very quickly,” Kurland said, while acknowledging that this is an expensive step for the government. “They’ve got to step outside the Canadian pond – it’s a global problem, it requires a global solution.”
 
Kurland added that among the most effective steps on the government’s part would be to start tracking home sales (especially of investment residences), along with facilitating the sharing of tax residency information. In particular, provincial authorities should require the participants of every transaction to provide their tax status to the Land Title and Survey Authority of B.C.—which in turn could forward the information to the CRA, and thus allow the organization to identify tax evaders.
 
Retired accountant and former KPMG partner Gary McDonnell agreed that this measure would help immeasurably in addressing the abuse of principal residence claims in Vancouver and Toronto.
 
“If the taxpayer knows that all property transactions are being reported to CRA, they would be under no illusions of getting away without reporting the sale of a property,” McDonnell said.

Copyright © 2016 Key Media Pty Ltd

Exodus to Toronto and Seattle underway

Tuesday, September 20th, 2016

Luxury home market slips in Vancouver, but picks up in Toronto, Sotheby’s says

Ephraim Vecina
Mortgage Broker News

Last month’s imposition of the 15 per cent foreign buyers’ tax by the British Columbia government has spurred a mass exit of hopeful home owners from Vancouver to Toronto and Seattle, according to an international real estate portal.
 
Latest numbers from realty listings website Juwai.com, which serves Chinese buyers of homes abroad, revealed that purchase inquiries for Vancouver properties drastically fell by 81 per cent on a year-over-year basis in August, GlobalNews.ca reported.
 
Juwai officials surmised that the B.C. tax—intended to cool down demand from foreign nationals, who have been cited as a crucial factor in Vancouver’s price increases over the past few years—has pushed away would-be buyers to other leading metropolitan markets in North America like Toronto and Seattle.
 
“Vancouver has been losing local and overseas buyers all year,” Juwai president of the Americas Matthew Moore stated. “The shift is towards cities with similar appeal but lower entry prices.”
 
August 2016 saw the greatest volume of Juwai searches in Toronto in the past three years. Inquiries for properties in the city grew by 142 per cent year-over-year last month, according to Juwai.
 
Meanwhile, Seattle has become the top choice in North America for inquiries from Chinese buyers, with property searches in August rising by 143 per cent compared to the same time last year.
 
In its latest report, the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) revealed that Canadian home sales dropped for the 4th consecutive month in August, with Vancouver seeing the greatest decline. National sales numbers last month weakened by 3.1 per cent from July, while Vancouver transactions fell by 18.8 per cent in the same period.
 
CREA further predicted that B.C.’s new levy will lead to a 4 per cent decline in sales activity by next year, a forecast that has been backed by market observers.
 
“We expect some of the extreme weakness in August to be reversed in the coming months as the shock of the new land transfer tax on foreign buyers dissipates,” Toronto-Dominion Bank economist Diana Petramala wrote in a research note. “Nonetheless, we expect the market to remain weak at least through early-2017.”

Copyright © 2016 Key Media Pty Ltd

Canadians cool on home buying despite low interest rates

Monday, September 19th, 2016

Buyers optimistic of a Vancouver, Toronto bargain

Steve Randall
Mortgage Broker News

While interest rates may be low, with little expectation of that changing anytime soon, an increasing number of Canadians do not believe that it’s a good time to buy a home.

A survey by Manulife found that just 25 per cent of those who currently rent plan to become home owners in the next 12 months despite 80 per cent saying that it’s their primary goal.

“Canadians say that owning a house is a top priority for them, yet they’re not willing to invest in housing right now,” said Kevin Headland, Senior Investment Strategist, Manulife Investments. “Perhaps investors are feeling the timing for this investment isn’t right. Many real estate markets are red-hot right now, which makes it difficult for Canadians to purchase a home, even if it is a priority for them. There are concerns that this housing bubble might just burst, leaving them with a bad investment.”

Among the 35 per cent of respondents who say that now is a good time to buy, low mortgage rates is the main reason (71 per cent) followed by “a secure investment” (45 per cent).

For the 23 per cent who say that it’s not a good time to buy, 72 per cent felt that homes are unaffordable, 32 per cent said the housing market is volatile and 20 per cent were concerned about their own finances.

Those in Atlantic Canada were almost twice as optimistic that it’s a good time to buy than those in British Columbia (45 per cent vs. 23 per cent).

Copyright © 2016 Key Media Pty Ltd